Things They Didn’t Say

They didn't say these things, but I would have appreciated it if they had: The best way to predict the future is to [combine multiple forecasting methods]. Be the [role model of rationality] you want to see in the world. Believe you can and you’re [<1% of the] way there [, but if you don’t believe you can, then you’ve already lost]. Change your thoughts and you change [your experience of] the world. Don’t live the same year 75 times and call it a life [unless you...
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Ten Skills Our Civilization Needs

Here are ten skills I believe our civilization needs, if we hope to create an amazing world instead of a dumpster fire. 1. Evidence evaluation Converging on a valid consensus about what’s true based on evidence/argument (e.g., being able to converge as a society on questions like "climate change real, how bad will it get if we don't act, and how quickly?"). 2. Coordination Developing and applying mechanisms to avoid collective action problems (e.g., working to make it in nobody’s in...
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Ten pros and cons of starting a startup

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Should you become an entrepreneur? Here's the honest truth (as I see it). 1. Autonomy Pro: you're the boss and decide what to do. Con: you HAVE to always decide what to do. There will be a huge array of options at any given moment, and you'll never know for sure which to work on. You can seek advice, but ultimately YOU are the one who must decide. 2. Lifestyle Pro: since you're the boss, you'll have flexibility in your hours. Cons: you'll inevitably be working a lot of...
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