What Do People Who Have Committed Sexual Harassment or Sexual Assault Say About Why They Committed It?

July 2, 2026
This piece was first written in 2017, and first appeared on my website on July 1, 2026 This is an attempt to find out. This essay is the third in a series examining sexual harassment and assault. The first essay can be read here, which also includes more information about the study participants. The second essay can be read here. The results shown below are from a study I ran abou...
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The Mental Models You Don’t Know About

April 13, 2026
I was disheartened to discover how many people either never learned the basic mental models or learned garbled versions of them. As a public service, here’s a concise refresher. Which of these did you not already know? • Badhart’s Law: if a large organization doesn't measure anything, it's unlikely to achieve anything • The Zareto Principle: roughly 20% of effects come from just 0.001% of c...
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Does Meditation Really Demonstrate There Is No You?

March 23, 2026
An issue I have with some claims about “nondual” meditation: some meditators say that they achieve a state of non-duality where they see through the "illusion of the self" and then claim something like “there is no self”. To be clear, I do believe that some people have these experiences (some people I know have had them, even). Where my issue comes in is that I think it's a mistake to assume t...
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Age Of Gurus

March 4, 2026
We seem to be living in an age of gurus. They’re all over the place, building large followings in domains like politics, self-improvement, spirituality, religion, activism, philosophy and even (occasionally) science. Gurus may not be more numerous now than in the past, but they seem to now more easily garner audiences of hundreds of thousands due to the fracturing of media, social media and YouTu...
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Will The U.S. Legal System Get You Justice?

December 28, 2025
I think that people tend to have a lot of misconceptions about the legal system (in the US, at least). For instance, many people think the US legal system is a good way to get justice when someone has committed a crime. In my experience, it's very hard to get the police to arrest someone who has committed a crime, unless the police showed up when the crime was actually in progress. While certa...
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A problem with correlations: rare traits usually have small correlations to other things, just by virtue of being rare

December 27, 2025
Correlations provide a very useful, quick way to summarize the relationship between two things (as a single number between -1 and 1). For instance, if we find that self-reported anxiety and self-reported depression have a high correlation (which they, in fact, do), then this suggests a substantial link between the two conditions. But something odd happens when we calculate correlations involvi...
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Four ways to get more pleasure from good things

December 24, 2025
It's fascinating how, with a slight adjustment to our focus and perspective, we can enjoy a positive moment more, which means more enjoyment in our lives at essentially no cost (other than the effort of learning and practice). In other words, we can derive more enjoyment from positive experiences without changing anything about our lives. While it’s of course also often beneficial to make actual ...
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Psychological Words That Don’t Mean What You Think

Psychological Words That Don’t Mean What You Think
December 11, 2025
A lot of psychological terms don't mean what people think they mean (at least, not according to psychologists). There's an increasing drift between how they get used colloquially in everyday language and the commonly accepted definitions among psychologists. There's a sense in which the lay usage is "wrong" (in that it doesn't match more scientific, precise, or technical usage), but of course,...
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Don’t Use The Baseline Value As One Of The Predictors When You’re Predicting A Change In The Same Variable

Don’t Use The Baseline Value As One Of The Predictors When You’re Predicting A Change In The Same Variable
December 11, 2025
When you’re predicting how much a variable changes over time using a regression, do you tend to add the baseline value of that variable as a predictor to control for it? If you do, you can end up with misleading results.  For example, if you’re trying to predict change in anxiety in 2025 vs. last year (anxiety in 2025 - anxiety in 2024), you’ll get misleading results if you enter anxiety ...
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Is Taking Every Supplement That Might Work A Good Idea For Health?

Is Taking Every Supplement That Might Work A Good Idea For Health?
December 6, 2025
I believe that if you are healthy and have a healthy diet, then taking 30+ supplements per day (even if you spend a ton of time researching which ones to take) has a net negative expected value on your health. The two fundamental issues are: Issue 1: That every supplement has: -a chance of harmful interactions with other drugs/supplements (and as you take more and more, the number of pot...
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