How do we predict high levels of success?

September 12, 2021

Below, I outline 13 approaches to predicting high levels of success with differing levels of complexity, including my own mega model at the bottom. Note: here, I use the term "success" merely in terms of achievement, career success, or high levels of expertise, NOT in terms of happiness, living a good life, morality, having strong social bonds, etc. There is nothing wrong with not wanting to be successful in the way this post focuses on. But if you DO want "success" in the sense in...

Five Powerful Learning Techniques Most People Have Never Tried

September 6, 2020

Obscure yet very powerful methods of learning that many people have never tried Here are five uncommon but highly effective learning techniques: 1. Intuition Flooding To understand something well on a gut level, spend hours looking closely at a huge number of examples, until your intuition forms a predictive model. I do this fairly often but don’t think I’ve heard it discussed! Example: Look carefully at 100 user interfaces. 2. Expert Observation Ask an expert if you can wa...