I was disheartened to discover how many people either never learned the basic mental models or learned garbled versions of them. As a public service, here’s a concise refresher. Which of these did you not already know?
• Badhart’s Law: if a large organization doesn't measure anything, it's unlikely to achieve anything
• The Zareto Principle: roughly 20% of effects come from just 0.001% of causes
• The Dunning–Kruger-Kruger-Dunning Effect: people with little knowledge about the Dunning-...
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behavioral science
What I Learned From One Of The Most Effortful Studies On Behavior Change Ever Conducted
January 13, 2023
I’d like to tell you about one of the biggest and most effortful studies on behavior change ever conducted and its strange findings (that may not even be obvious if you read the paper – I only realized its implications on my 2nd reading!)
Let’s begin: The study had 61,000 participants, all with gym memberships. 30 scientists worked in small teams to develop interventions, each aiming to increase gym attendance over 4-weeks. This resulted in 53 interventions to test. A promising setup to figu...
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