Will The U.S. Legal System Get You Justice?

December 28, 2025
I think that people tend to have a lot of misconceptions about the legal system (in the US, at least). For instance, many people think the US legal system is a good way to get justice when someone has committed a crime. In my experience, it's very hard to get the police to arrest someone who has committed a crime, unless the police showed up when the crime was actually in progress. While certa...
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A problem with correlations: rare traits usually have small correlations to other things, just by virtue of being rare

December 27, 2025
Correlations provide a very useful, quick way to summarize the relationship between two things (as a single number between -1 and 1). For instance, if we find that self-reported anxiety and self-reported depression have a high correlation (which they, in fact, do), then this suggests a substantial link between the two conditions. But something odd happens when we calculate correlations involvi...
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Four ways to get more pleasure from good things

December 24, 2025
It's fascinating how, with a slight adjustment to our focus and perspective, we can enjoy a positive moment more, which means more enjoyment in our lives at essentially no cost (other than the effort of learning and practice). In other words, we can derive more enjoyment from positive experiences without changing anything about our lives. While it’s of course also often beneficial to make actual ...
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Psychological Words That Don’t Mean What You Think

Psychological Words That Don’t Mean What You Think
December 11, 2025
A lot of psychological terms don't mean what people think they mean (at least, not according to psychologists). There's an increasing drift between how they get used colloquially in everyday language and the commonly accepted definitions among psychologists. There's a sense in which the lay usage is "wrong" (in that it doesn't match more scientific, precise, or technical usage), but of course,...
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Don’t Use The Baseline Value As One Of The Predictors When You’re Predicting A Change In The Same Variable

Don’t Use The Baseline Value As One Of The Predictors When You’re Predicting A Change In The Same Variable
December 11, 2025
When you’re predicting how much a variable changes over time using a regression, do you tend to add the baseline value of that variable as a predictor to control for it? If you do, you can end up with misleading results.  For example, if you’re trying to predict change in anxiety in 2025 vs. last year (anxiety in 2025 - anxiety in 2024), you’ll get misleading results if you enter anxiety ...
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Is Taking Every Supplement That Might Work A Good Idea For Health?

Is Taking Every Supplement That Might Work A Good Idea For Health?
December 6, 2025
I believe that if you are healthy and have a healthy diet, then taking 30+ supplements per day (even if you spend a ton of time researching which ones to take) has a net negative expected value on your health. The two fundamental issues are: Issue 1: That every supplement has: -a chance of harmful interactions with other drugs/supplements (and as you take more and more, the number of pot...
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People May Value Universal Happiness And Reduction Of Suffering More Than They Realize

People May Value Universal Happiness And Reduction Of Suffering More Than They Realize
December 2, 2025
I have a number of intrinsic values, but two of my most important intrinsic values are happiness and the lack of suffering for conscious beings. While these are fairly common intrinsic values, I suspect many people actually value them more than they realize. In other words, upon careful reflection, many people would realize that happiness and lack of suffering are stronger intrinsi...
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Psychology Terms You’re Probably Misusing

Psychology Terms You’re Probably Misusing
November 18, 2025
A lot of psychological terms don't mean what people think they mean (at least, not according to psychologists). There's an increasing drift between how they get used colloquially in everyday language and the commonly accepted definitions among psychologists. There's a sense in which the lay usage is "wrong" (in that it doesn't match more scientific, precise, or technical usage), but of course,...
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Facts That Contradict Common Narratives About The United States

Facts That Contradict Common Narratives About The United States
November 17, 2025
There are a ton of false narratives that circulate widely in and about the US. To help combat that, here's a list I've been compiling of facts that contradict common narratives related to the US that many people believe. In some cases, these facts contradict common beliefs that most Americans hold, whereas in other cases, they contradict beliefs held mainly just by some subgroups (e.g., subgroups...
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Categorizing The Causes Of Bad Things In The World

Categorizing The Causes Of Bad Things In The World
November 17, 2025
What causes bad things? It sounds like a huge question, but maybe it's not as big as it seems. Here's my updated/improved list of high-level causes of bad things in the world. Note that these are not mutually exclusive categories. I've also added some potential solutions for each cause. I'd be interested to know: what is missing from my new list of causes of bad things and potential types of s...
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