• The best way to predict the future is to [combine multiple forecasting methods].

• Be the [role model of rationality] you want to see in the world.

• Believe you can and you’re [<1% of the] way there [, but if you don’t believe you can, then you’ve already lost].

• Change your thoughts and you change [your experience of] the world.

• Don’t live the same year 75 times and call it a life [unless you’ve already optimized it to be an awesome year].

• It wasn’t raining when Noah built the ark [but God had pretty much explained to him what was going to happen – you’ll need to be shrewder since you won’t get that handy advance warning before bad things happen].

• The successful warrior is the average [person], with laser-like focus [and a training regimen involving deliberate practice with tight feedback loops].

• Early to bed and early to rise [helps make] a [person] healthy [,productive], and wise, [except with evening chronotypes, where the opposite applies].

This piece was first written on November 17, 2020, and first appeared on my website on September 15, 2026.