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	<title>crux &#8211; Spencer Greenberg</title>
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	<title>crux &#8211; Spencer Greenberg</title>
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		<title>I&#8217;m an extreme non-credentialist &#8211; what about you?</title>
		<link>https://www.spencergreenberg.com/2024/02/im-an-extreme-non-credentialist-what-about-you/</link>
					<comments>https://www.spencergreenberg.com/2024/02/im-an-extreme-non-credentialist-what-about-you/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Feb 2024 15:34:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Essays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[argumentation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consensus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credentials]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[crux]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deferring]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[disagreements]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[experts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rationality]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.spencergreenberg.com/?p=3874</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m an extreme (&#62;99th percentile) non-credentialist. Does that mean if I find out someone has a nutrition Ph.D., then I don&#8217;t think they know more about nutrition than most random people? Of course not. Credentials are evidence of what someone knows (e.g., having a nutrition Ph.D. is evidence that you have nutrition knowledge). But part [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>I&#8217;m an extreme (&gt;99th percentile) non-credentialist. Does that mean if I find out someone has a nutrition Ph.D., then I don&#8217;t think they know more about nutrition than most random people? Of course not. Credentials are evidence of what someone knows (e.g., having a nutrition Ph.D. is evidence that you have nutrition knowledge).</p>



<p>But part of what makes me an extreme non-credentialist is that if I spend an hour watching someone with a nutrition Ph.D. debate a completely self-taught person, and the Ph.D. is making bad arguments and pointing to weak evidence, and the self-taught person is making very solid arguments and pointing to strong evidence and has a very solid command of the relevant facts, the fact that the first person has a Ph.D. will be nearly completely washed out for me at that point, and I will trust the second person&#8217;s view of nutrition far more based on the quality of their thinking and the reasons underlying why they believe what they do.</p>



<p>So, being a non-credentialist to me isn&#8217;t about thinking that credentials are meaningless, but rather, it involves being willing to quickly update away from the evidence of a credential once you have more direct evidence about the way a person comes to conclusions and what they know.</p>



<p>Most Ph.D.s in a subject are vastly more reliable sources of information on that subject than most non-Ph.D.s on that same subject, but there are lots of exceptions, and sometimes self-taught people are absolutely world-class (and, in any human endeavor, plenty of people with fancy credentials are actually full of B.S.)</p>



<p>Another thing that makes me a non-credentialist is that I love to see highly credible, highly knowledgeable, self-taught people discussing topics and spreading their ideas (whereas some people are very much rubbed the wrong way when someone is talking publicly about a topic they lack a credential in).</p>



<p>An important note: when there is a strong scientific consensus, that is usually a strong starting point for beliefs on topics you know little about (e.g., in physics or biology), even though the consensus is not always right. But trusting the scientific consensus is not the same as trusting one person due to their credentials &#8211; a strong scientific consensus is typically more reliable than individual experts.</p>



<p>If you&#8217;d like to figure out how much of a credentialist or non-credentialist you are, you can take our credentialist test <a href="https://programs.clearerthinking.org/credentialist_test.html" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">here.</a></p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



<p><em>This piece was first written on February 28, 2024, and first appeared on my website on March 22, 2024.</em></p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">3874</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Productive Disagreements &#8211; An Interactive Event Format</title>
		<link>https://www.spencergreenberg.com/2017/06/productive-disagreements-an-interactive-event-format/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Spencer]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Jun 2017 19:49:08 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Essays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agreeing to disagree]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agreement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cooperation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[crux]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[definitions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[disagreement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[double-cruxing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[event ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[explaining disagreement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finding common ground]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interactive events]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[intuition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[learning from others]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reasoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[semantics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[understanding disagreement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[values]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.spencergreenberg.com/?p=1340</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I ran a &#8220;Productive Disagreements&#8221; event last night, a new interactive format I&#8217;ve been working on where attendees practice structured disagreements on controversial topics in order to learn from each other and get experience accurately modeling other people&#8217;s perspectives. Here are the materials, in case you want to run an event like this or just [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>I ran a &#8220;Productive Disagreements&#8221; event last night, a new interactive format I&#8217;ve been working on where attendees practice structured disagreements on controversial topics in order to learn from each other and get experience accurately modeling other people&#8217;s perspectives.</p>



<p>Here are the materials, in case you want to run an event like this or just learn about the format:</p>



<p><strong>Part 1</strong>: Brief presentation about why disagreements are so often unproductive</p>



<p><strong>1.</strong> You want to &#8220;win&#8221; more than you want to figure out what&#8217;s true (e.g., seeing disagreement as a competition)</p>



<p><em>Example: you want to one-up the other person, the other person is a rival</em></p>



<p><strong>2.</strong> It&#8217;s really about your group identity, not about the content of the disagreement per se (i.e., what the argument is really about is whether my group is better than your group)</p>



<p><em>Example: Republicans vs. Democrats, Yankees vs. Mets</em></p>



<p><strong>3.</strong> Others are watching and you think backing down would lower your social status or lose you respect (e.g., you think it would look bad to back down)</p>



<p><em>Example: dinner party disagreements, public debates</em></p>



<p><strong>4.</strong> You have emotional discomfort with finding out you are wrong on this topic (e.g., cognitive dissonance, feeling dumb for being wrong, realizing that you did something immoral in the past)</p>



<p><em>Example: you&#8217;ve already said you are &#8220;certain&#8221; you are right, so think you would look really dumb now being wrong</em></p>



<p><strong>5.</strong> There would be real-world negative consequences to believing the truth about this, which your subconscious detects, and so you fight against learning the truth (e.g., social rejection, feeling that you&#8217;d need to abandon your current lifestyle)</p>



<p><em>Example: religion, eating animals, addiction</em></p>



<p><strong>6.</strong> You feel pressure to back down in the disagreement or that it would be inappropriate to mention flaws in the other person&#8217;s argument [H/T: Divia]</p>



<p><em>Example: disagreement with your boss, or in an especially polite social context, or with a person who you think would react negatively to be being challenged</em></p>



<p><strong>7.</strong> The conversation drifts, so at first it was about your disagreement over X, but now it is about your disagreement over Y, so you can&#8217;t make progress on X</p>



<p><em>Example: pointing out whenever the other person says something you disagree with, even if it is tangential to the main point</em></p>



<p></p>



<p><strong>Part 2</strong>: Tips for having productive disagreements that both parties learn more from (for attendees to keep in mind during the interactive portion of the event):</p>



<p><strong>Tip 1:</strong> Remember that you are here to learn from the other person, not to &#8220;win&#8221; an argument</p>



<p><strong>Tip 2:</strong> Work from the assumption that the other person has good intentions and is not a bad person, even if you think they believe something harmful</p>



<p><strong>Tip 3:</strong> If the other person changes your mind about anything (even something small), tell them so and thank them for helping you have a more accurate perspective, changing your mind means you&#8217;re doing this right!</p>



<p><strong>Tip 4:</strong> Carefully clarify definitions, since words are ambiguous and people often mean different things by the same word (once you do this you may realize that you don&#8217;t actually disagree at all)</p>



<p><strong>Tip 5:</strong> Try to discover WHY the other person believes what they do, not merely just WHAT they believe</p>



<p><strong>Tip 6:</strong> Remember that some of your beliefs are inevitably going to be wrong, it&#8217;s better for you to find that out now and start believing the truth as soon as possible rather than to hold tight to those wrong beliefs indefinitely</p>



<p><strong>Tip 7:</strong> Remember that even if the other person IS wrong, you can still gain a more accurate view on the issue by understanding any valid points they are making</p>



<p><strong>Tip 8:</strong> Remember that most controversial topics have at least some reasonable points on both sides, and you should know the best of what the other side can offer</p>



<p><strong>Tip 9:</strong> Remember that even if your goal in the end is really just to persuade the other person, it still helps to ask lots of questions so that you deeply understand why they believe what they believe before trying to persuade them</p>



<p><strong>Tip 10:</strong> Remember that we shouldn&#8217;t be 100% confident in any of our beliefs, so it&#8217;s better to think of your beliefs in terms of confidence levels (&#8220;I&#8217;m reasonably confident in this belief&#8221;) rather than in terms of things being either all true or all false, and talking to someone who disagrees with you can help you make your confidence level more appropriate even if you don&#8217;t end up concluding they are correct (e.g., after the discussion you might change your mind from being &#8220;very&#8221; confident to only being &#8220;moderately&#8221; confident)</p>



<p><strong>Tip 11:</strong> Stay on topic, and hone in on the core of the disagreement, don&#8217;t get distracted by side disagreements or let the conversation drift away from the most important parts or you will inevitably not make progress, and if the other person says something you disagree with that is not that relevant to the topic, just let it go</p>



<p></p>



<p><strong>Part 3:</strong> The interactive portion of the event</p>



<p class="has-pale-cyan-blue-background-color has-background">Handout 1</p>



<p>A <a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b4W8sXLvcMe1Zana-oqkPHAwBsY1XwP4xrESw-MDPjk/edit#gid=0">spreadsheet of 59 controversial topics</a> (print one out for each attendee): everyone will fill this out. If a person doesn&#8217;t want to discuss a certain topic, they should mark it as &#8220;unsure&#8221; or just leave it blank.</p>



<p>Important note: while this might sound like a huge number of controversial topics, it seems that a large number of topics is actually needed since many items people will not have an opinion on, or will agree with most other group members on (due to meeting groups often having similar views in many domains), or will find too ambiguous. If you write your own controversial topics, I don&#8217;t recommend using less than 50.</p>



<p>Here is <a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-JTxrsA5f4x8zsxOloxNLYTzD6RXG7tkMdS309j-gwM/edit?usp=sharing">another spreadsheet of 59 controversial topics</a> adapted for people in the effective altruism community. </p>



<p class="has-pale-cyan-blue-background-color has-background">Handout 2</p>



<p>Step by step instructions for the interactive portion of the event (print one out for each attendee):</p>



<p></p>



<p><strong>Step 1.</strong> </p>



<p>Find a random person to be your partner, preferably someone you don&#8217;t already know.</p>



<p><strong>Step 2. </strong></p>



<p>Compare your sheet with your partner (overlaying them after folding the right edge of one sheet works well) to find a topic where one of you selected &#8220;agree&#8221; and the other selected &#8220;disagree.&#8221;</p>



<p>Don&#8217;t select a topic that either of you marked as &#8220;unsure&#8221; or that either of you left blank; those topics are off-limits.</p>



<p><strong>Step 3.</strong></p>



<p>(i) Pick who will start as Person 1 (the explainer) and who will start as Person 2 (the asker).</p>



<p>(ii) Person 1 then explains why they marked that they agree or disagree.</p>



<p>(iii) During this time, Person 2 asks clarifying questions, with Person 2&#8217;s only goal being to try to TRULY understand Person 1&#8217;s perspective.</p>



<p>Good questions for Person 2 to ask include, among other things:</p>



<p>A. What do you mean by the word X? (i.e., clarifying a definition)</p>



<p>B. Could you give me an example of that?</p>



<p>C. Could you explain why you think that&#8217;s true?</p>



<p>(iv) Person 2 then tries to repeat back to Person 1 the reasons that Person 1 said they agree or disagree with the original statement, until they can do so in a way that Person 1 confirms is an accurate characterization of Person 1&#8217;s view. Being able to state someone&#8217;s perspective back to them is a great way to confirm you&#8217;ve really understood it.</p>



<p><strong>Step 4.</strong></p>



<p>Now switch who is Person 1 and who is Person 2 and repeat exactly what you did in Step 3.</p>



<p><strong>Step 5.</strong></p>



<p>Spend a final few minutes discussing the topic with the goal of pinpointing exactly why you disagree.</p>



<p>(i) Is it just a semantic disagreement, where once you agree on the meaning of words and definitions you actually agree with each other? This happens surprisingly often!</p>



<p>(2) Is it a disagreement of values (e.g., one of you simply values autonomy more than the other)?</p>



<p>(ii) Is it a disagreement about empirical facts that one could check (e.g., there might be studies out there that would settle the disagreement)?</p>



<p>(iii) Or is it a disagreement about intuition (e.g., you have different intuitions about a topic but can&#8217;t really explain why)?</p>



<p>Your goal should be to discover the &#8220;core&#8221; of the disagreement, the ultimate explanation for why you have different perspectives.</p>



<p><strong>Step 6.</strong></p>



<p>Now you&#8217;ll rotate to another person and repeat the whole process over again.</p>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



<p><em>This piece was first written on June 25, 2017. Grammatical edits were made and an EA-adapted version of Handout 1 was shared on June 27, 2018. This editing note was added on December 23, 2022.</em></p>
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