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	<title>cosmology &#8211; Spencer Greenberg</title>
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		<title>50 &#8220;Laws&#8221; of Everything</title>
		<link>https://www.spencergreenberg.com/2020/07/50-laws-of-everything-2/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Spencer]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Jul 2020 23:06:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.spencergreenberg.com/?p=4892</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This piece was first written on July 6, 2020, and first appeared on my website on May 30, 2026.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"></p>



<ol start="1" class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Parkinson&#8217;s Law</strong>: Work expands so as to fill the time available for its completion.</li>



<li><strong>Hofstadter&#8217;s Law</strong>: It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter’s Law.</li>



<li><strong>Gates&#8217; Law</strong>: Most people overestimate what they can do in one year and underestimate what they can do in ten years.</li>



<li><strong>Goodhart&#8217;s Law</strong>: When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.</li>



<li><strong>Hanlon&#8217;s Razor</strong>: Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity (or, don&#8217;t invoke conspiracy when ignorance and incompetence will suffice, as conspiracy implies intelligence).</li>



<li><strong>Acton&#8217;s Dictum</strong>: Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely.</li>



<li><strong>Amara&#8217;s Law</strong>: We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.</li>



<li><strong>Benford&#8217;s Law</strong>: In a diverse collection of unrelated statistics, a given statistic has roughly a 30% chance of starting with the digit 1.</li>



<li><strong>Betteridge&#8217;s Law</strong>: Any headline which ends in a question mark can be answered by the word &#8216;no&#8217;.</li>



<li><strong>Brooks&#8217; Law</strong>: Adding manpower to a late software project makes it later.</li>



<li><strong>Chesterton&#8217;s Fence</strong>: Reforms should not be made until the reasoning behind the existing state of affairs is understood.</li>



<li><strong>Claasen&#8217;s Law</strong>: Usefulness = log(technology).</li>



<li><strong>Clarke&#8217;s First Law</strong>: When a distinguished elderly scientist states that something is possible, they are almost certainly right, but when they state something is impossible, they are probably wrong.</li>



<li><strong>Cromwell&#8217;s Rule</strong>: Nothing but logical impossibilities have a prior probability of 0 or 1.</li>



<li><strong>Cunningham&#8217;s Law</strong>: The best way to get the right answer on the Internet is not to ask a question, it’s to post the wrong answer.</li>



<li><strong>Doctorow&#8217;s Law</strong>: When someone puts a lock on a thing you own, against your wishes, and doesn&#8217;t give you the key, they&#8217;re not doing it for your benefit.</li>



<li><strong>Dunbar&#8217;s Number</strong>: Most people can&#8217;t maintain stable social relationships with more than 150 people.</li>



<li><strong>Eroom&#8217;s Law</strong>: Drug discovery is becoming slower and more expensive over time, despite improvements in technology.</li>



<li><strong>Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect</strong>: You&#8217;ll believe articles outside your area of expertise, even after acknowledging that neighboring articles in your area of expertise are completely wrong.</li>



<li><strong>Gibson&#8217;s Law</strong> (or the Expert Witness Law): For each PhD (to use as an expert witness for one side) there&#8217;s an equal and opposite PhD.</li>



<li><strong>Godwin&#8217;s Law</strong>: As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches one.</li>



<li><strong>Morley-Souter&#8217;s Law</strong> (Rule 34): There is porn of it (no exceptions).</li>



<li><strong>Greenspun&#8217;s Tenth Rule</strong>: Any sufficiently complicated C program contains an ad hoc, informally specified, bug-ridden, slow implementation of half of Common Lisp.</li>



<li><strong>Hebb&#8217;s Law</strong>: Neurons that fire together wire together.</li>



<li><strong>Hubble&#8217;s Law</strong>: Galaxies recede from an observer at a rate proportional to their distance to that observer.</li>



<li><strong>Hume&#8217;s Guillotine</strong> (Is-Ought Problem): Normative statements (about what&#8217;s moral/immoral/right/wrong) cannot be deduced exclusively from descriptive statements.</li>



<li><strong>Humphrey&#8217;s Law</strong>: Conscious attention to a task normally performed automatically can impair its performance.</li>



<li><strong>Kranzberg&#8217;s Law</strong>: Technology is neither good nor bad; nor is it neutral.</li>



<li><strong>Lamarck&#8217;s Principle</strong> (or &#8220;Use it or Lose it&#8221;): Use it or lose it (evolutionarily speaking, but also in the brain).</li>



<li><strong>Lewis&#8217;s Law</strong>: The comments you&#8217;ll inevitably find on any article about feminism justify feminism.</li>



<li><strong>Littlewood&#8217;s Law</strong>: Individuals can expect miracles to happen to them, at the rate of about one per month.</li>



<li><strong>Maes–Garreau Law</strong>: Favorable predictions about future technology will fall at the latest possible date they can come true and still remain in the lifetime of the predictor.</li>



<li><strong>Metcalfe&#8217;s Law</strong>: The value of a system grows as approximately the square of the number of users of the system.</li>



<li><strong>Miller&#8217;s Law</strong>: To understand what another person is saying, you must assume that it is true and try to imagine what it could be true of.</li>



<li><strong>Moore&#8217;s Law</strong>: Computation per dollar grows exponentially (or: number of transistors per circuit doubles roughly every 24 months).</li>



<li><strong>Murphy&#8217;s Law</strong>: Anything that can go wrong will go wrong.</li>



<li><strong>Alder&#8217;s Law</strong>: What cannot be settled by experiment is not worth debating.</li>



<li><strong>O&#8217;Sullivan&#8217;s Law</strong>: All organizations that are not actually right-wing will over time become left-wing.</li>



<li><strong>Pareto&#8217;s Principle</strong> (80/20 Rule): For many phenomena 80% of consequences stem from 20% of the causes.</li>



<li><strong>Peter&#8217;s Principle</strong>: In a hierarchy, every employee tends to rise to his level of incompetence.</li>



<li><strong>Poisson&#8217;s Law</strong> (or Law of Large Numbers): For independent random variables with a common distribution, the average tends to the mean as sample size increases.</li>



<li><strong>Pournelle&#8217;s Iron Law of Bureaucracy</strong>: In bureaucracy, those devoted to the bureaucracy get control, those devoted to what it&#8217;s supposed to achieve lose influence.</li>



<li><strong>Putt&#8217;s Law</strong>: Technology is dominated by two types of people: those who understand what they do not manage and those who manage what they do not understand.</li>



<li><strong>Rosenthal Effect</strong> (Pygmalion Effect): High expectations lead to an increase in performance, low expectations to a decrease in performance.</li>



<li><strong>Schneier&#8217;s Law</strong>: Any person can invent a security system so clever that she or he can&#8217;t think of how to break it.</li>



<li><strong>Shermer&#8217;s Law</strong>: Any sufficiently advanced extraterrestrial intelligence is indistinguishable from God.</li>



<li><strong>Zipf&#8217;s Law</strong>: The frequency of use of the nth-most-frequently-used word in any natural language is approximately inversely proportional to n (few words are used often, most are used rarely).</li>



<li><strong>Wirth&#8217;s Law</strong>: Software gets slower more quickly than hardware gets faster.</li>



<li><strong>Sturgeon&#8217;s Law</strong>: Ninety percent of everything is crud.</li>



<li><strong>Stigler&#8217;s Law</strong>: No discovery is named after its original discoverer, including this one.</li>
</ol>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>This piece was first written on July 6, 2020, and first appeared on my website on May 30, 2026.</em></p>
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